Guggenheim’s Minerd says stocks should fall another 20% by mid-October. Here’s why.

Barron’s/Angela Palumbo/9-9-2022

“Minerd added that August through October is usually the worst time for stocks, and ‘given the recent strength over the last few days, it just appears that people are ignoring the macro backdrop, monetary policy backdrop, which would basically indicate that the bear market is intact and given where seasonals are and how far out of line we are historically with where the P/E is, we should see a really sharp adjustment in prices very fast.’”

USAGOLD note: For stocks, October is the cruellest month…… 1907, 1929, 1987. September has its own ugly history of crashes…… 1869, 1992, 2001, 2008. Earnings, where Minerd puts the emphasis, are the composite resolution to a whole host of problems gathering on the horizon.

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